Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

2015 • 352 pages

Ratings47

Average rating3.9

15
adam
AdamSupporter

I'm kind of interested in estimation and forecasting. This book focuses on how people make broad guesses based on information - with a focus on improving and refining forecasts as new information comes in. This book focuses on the traits that make great forecasters. The top most is an open, growth mindset - being open to change and looking towards what's next. The other major focus is adapting when new data comes in. These traits and more are explored through a number of forecasters – some professional and some amateur.

December 23, 2015