Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

By
Philip E. Tetlock
Philip E. Tetlock,
Dan Gardner
Dan Gardner
2015 • 352 pages

Ratings45

Average rating3.8

15

List

103 books

Critical Thinking

MBonus
PB
The Skeptics' Guide to the Universe: How to Know What's Really Real in a World Increasingly Full of Fake
Outgrowing God: A Beginner's Guide
The Irrational Ape
The Four Horsemen: The Discussion That Sparked an Atheist Revolution
Logically Fallacious
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions
How To Be Right… in a World Gone Wrong

List

5 books

Economics

FetesandFika
Amanda
Naked Money
Naked Economics: Undressing the Dismal Science
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Stubborn Attachments
The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves

List

5 books

Artificial Intelligence

FetesandFika
Amanda
The Alignment Problem
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Human Compatible: Artificial Intelligence and the Problem of Control
The Emperor's New Mind

List

38 books

Blue Horizons

jerm
Jer
The Accidental Superpower: The Next Generation of American Preeminence and the Coming Global Disorder
Ai Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order
American Pendulum: Recurring Debates in U.S. Grand Strategy
Being Wrong
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Blink
Bold: How to Go Big, Create Wealth and Impact the World

List

4 books

Ai

Luismmolina
Luis
Deep Medicine: How Artificial Intelligence Can Make Healthcare Human Again
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Fourth Age: Smart Robots, Conscious Computers, and the Future of Humanity
Life 3.0

List

283 books

Science

starthistle1
Steven Rongley
Domesticated
The Disappearing Spoon: And Other True Tales of Madness, Love, and the History of the World from the Periodic Table of the Elements
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
The Sixth Extinction: An Unnatural History
The Privileged Planet : How Our Place in the Cosmos Is Designed for Discovery
Finding Darwin's God: A Scientist's Search for Common Ground Between God and Evolution

List

91 books

Nonfiction

Batman1721
José Gonçalves
Dark Alliance
The Gulag Archipelago, 1918-1956: An Experiment in Literary Investigation, books I-II
The Rise and Fall of the Third Reich
Lords of Finance
The Rape of Nanking: The Forgotten Holocaust of World War II
Mao
The Emperor of All Maladies: A Biography of Cancer

List

25 books

Rationality

panashe
Panashe Fundira
Good and Real: Demystifying Paradoxes from Physics to Ethics
Thinking and Deciding
Probability Theory: The Logic of Science
Rationality and the Reflective Mind
How to Measure Anything: Finding the Value of Intangibles in Business
Mathematics and the Search for Knowledge

List

41 books

To Read 2022

skryl
Alex
Burnout: The Secret to Unlocking the Stress Cycle
Helgoland: Making Sense of the Quantum Revolution
The Unbearable Lightness of Being
Winter Is Coming: Why Vladimir Putin and the Enemies of the Free World Must Be Stopped
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics

List

212 books

Popular Science

beccaowen
Becca
Islands of Abandonment
What We Cannot Know: Explorations at the Edge of Knowledge
The Music of the Primes
Fast Asleep: How to Get a Really Good Night's Rest
Seeing Further: Ideas, Endeavours, Discoveries and Disputes — The Story of Science Through 350 Years of the Royal Society
QED: The Strange Theory of Light and Matter

List

27 books

Owned

alexrov
Alexander R.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Subtle Art of Not Giving a F*ck: A Counterintuitive Approach to Living a Good Life
False Papers: Essays on Exile and Memory
Yellowface
Nausea
Prisons We Choose to Live Inside
Barking Up the Wrong Tree: The Surprising Science Behind Why Everything You Know About Success Is (Mostly) Wrong

List

26 books

Psychology

ali.sattari
Ali
The Great Ideas of Psychology
Flowers for Algernon
The Blank Slate
The Marshmallow Test: Mastering Self-Control
Man's Search for Meaning
Quiet : The Power of Introverts in a World That Can't Stop Talking

List

34 books

Business

ali.sattari
Ali
Zero to One: Notes on Startups, or How to Build the Future
The Art of Critical Decision Making
Principles of Economics: Business, Banking, Finance, and Your Everyday Life
Las cinco disfunciones de un equipo
The Innovator's Dilemma: The Revolutionary Book that Will Change the Way You Do Business

List

60 books

Science

ali.sattari
Ali
The Selfish Gene
The Great Ideas of Psychology
Games People Play: Game Theory in Life, Business, and Beyond
The Study of Language
Understanding Linguistics: The Science of Language
Understanding the Secrets of Human Perception
Science Fiction: The Literature Of The Technological Imagination

List

8 books

Statistics

ali.sattari
Ali
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day
Standard Deviations
The Hidden Factor: Why Thinking Differently Is Your Greatest Asset
The Book of Why
The Truthful Art

List

1 book

Investing

shpigford
Josh Pigford
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

List

2,160 books

Ebooks

MBonus
PB
… And What Do You Do?: What The Royal Family Don't Want You To Know
Forensics: The Science Behind the Deaths of Famous People
False Memory OCD Recovery: Step by Step Recovery Guide
I Travel by Night
Last Train from Perdition
The Border
Seven Brief Lessons on Physics

List

17,841 books

My Library

Nitin
Nitin Rughoonauth
Fermi Remembered
Goedel's Way: Exploits into an undecidable world
Brave Genius: A Scientist, a Philosopher, and Their Daring Adventures from the French Resistance to the Nobel Prize
Debate en torno a la etica del discurso de Apel: Diálogo filosófico Norte-Sur desde América Latina
Love and math : the heart of hidden reality
The Road to Reality
The Large, the Small and the Human Mind

List

42 books

Marketing

kryspin
Honza Marcinek
Shoe Dog
The Hard Thing About Hard Things: Building a Business When There Are No Easy Answers
Search Inside Yourself
The Righteous Mind: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion
Mini Habits
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

List

65 books

Psychology

viewer
Greg
The Charisma Myth: How Anyone Can Master the Art and Science of Personal Magnetism
This Is Your Brain on Music: The Science of a Human Obsession
Ego Is the Enemy
The Art of Deception
How to Be Miserable
Never Split the Difference: Negotiating As If Your Life Depended On It
The Moon Is a Harsh Mistress

List

21 books

Work

viewer
Greg
The Phoenix Project: A Novel About IT, DevOps, and Helping Your Business Win
The DevOps Handbook
Unleashed
Team Topologies
Deep Work: Rules for Focused Success in a Distracted World
Lean Enterprise: How High Performance Organizations Innovate at Scale
Daring Greatly: How the Courage to Be Vulnerable Transforms the Way We Live, Love, Parent, and Lead

List

13 books

Science

viewer
Greg
How Long is Now?: And 191 Other Questions You Never Thought to Ask
Ignition!
When the Uncertainty Principle Goes to 11: Or How to Explain Quantum Physics with Heavy Metal
Chernobyl
The Order of Time
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Black Holes and Warped Spacetime

List

15 books

Work Tbr 2024

ashlinreads
Ashlin
Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts
Thinking, Fast and Slow
The Tao of Pooh
Algorithms to Live By: The Computer Science of Human Decisions
Data Smart
The Art of Data Science: A Guide for Anyone Who Works with Data
The Basics of Data Literacy: Helping Your Students (And You!) Make Sense of Data - PB343X

List

136 books

Nonfiction

Conciselyverbose
JSupporter
Thinking, Fast and Slow
The Hidden Reality
Stealing Fire
Smarter Faster Better: The Secrets of Being Productive in Life and Business
The Tangled Tree
Start with Why: How Great Leaders Inspire Everyone to Take Action
Predictably Irrational: The Hidden Forces That Shape Our Decisions

List

62 books

Intelligence

Conciselyverbose
JSupporter
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Behave: The Biology of Humans at Our Best and Worst
Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics
Determined: A Science of Life without Free Will
Influence
The Elements of Choice: Why the Way We Decide Matters
Peak
Next