Jeff Sexton
Not As Bad As It Could Have Been. Quite honestly, if I had known up front that I was reading a book about proof and certainty written by a *COVID "scientist"*... I would never have picked the damn book up to begin with. Those fuckers have been more wrong than flat earthers, and the world learned from dire direct personal experience to not believe a word they say.
This noted, Kucharski does at least admit that even he was wrong in at least certain areas, so the fact that he wasn't trying to defend everything he and his colleagues did to us and all of their blatant mistakes was at least somewhat refreshing and gave this review its title.
Kucharski actually does a good job here with writing about precise concepts in layman and approachable terms, and even raises great (and hitherto unknown even to me) points about how even Euclid's Elements ultimately shaped decades of American politics... via one State Senator working himself through it in order to learn how to be a more convincing orator. That particular State Senator being none other than later President of the United States Abraham Lincoln.
Similarly, other sections are also quite enlightening about other forms of proof, even going so far as to at least allow for the possibility of Bayes being wrong in his Theorem (a topic explored much more fully in the much more targeted work Bernoulli's Fallacy by Aubrey Clayton) - which not many books about proof and statistics have ever done, at least in my experience as a former math and math related fields major and avid reader. (LONG story short, I came within a half dozen classes of getting degrees in Computer Science (the one I ultimately did get), Mathematics, and Secondary Mathematics Education at once... almost 20 yrs ago to the day as I write this review.)
Ultimately, the star deductions are for the long focus on COVID, which even 5 yrs later still warrants a star deduction in my own personal war against books focusing on that topic, and for trying to defend the scientists who were pushing so much of the damaging narratives - including, it seems, Kucharski himself. In a book about "proof" and "certainty", where history has now proven that one group of scientists in particular was so *incredibly* wrong in their "certain" judgements, to defend that very group of scientists as correct is to actively deny reality, and this cannot be ignored in such a text as this. (I've since come to forgive/ be far more lenient about more passing references to that horrible period of the 21st century, by the way.)
Now, maybe your political positions align more with Kucharski's. Maybe you still believe the blatant lies the world was fed about that period that ultimately caused far more harm and devastation than the actual virus ever did. In which case, you're going to LOVE this book.
But for those like me who believe that every single one of those "scientists" should find a more appropriate job that suits their actual knowledge and skill level - burger flipper, maybe? - eh... read this book anyway. Kucharski really does have some great stuff here, when he's not talking COVID.
Recommended.
Originally posted at bookanon.com.
Not As Bad As It Could Have Been. Quite honestly, if I had known up front that I was reading a book about proof and certainty written by a *COVID "scientist"*... I would never have picked the damn book up to begin with. Those fuckers have been more wrong than flat earthers, and the world learned from dire direct personal experience to not believe a word they say.
This noted, Kucharski does at least admit that even he was wrong in at least certain areas, so the fact that he wasn't trying to defend everything he and his colleagues did to us and all of their blatant mistakes was at least somewhat refreshing and gave this review its title.
Kucharski actually does a good job here with writing about precise concepts in layman and approachable terms, and even raises great (and hitherto unknown even to me) points about how even Euclid's Elements ultimately shaped decades of American politics... via one State Senator working himself through it in order to learn how to be a more convincing orator. That particular State Senator being none other than later President of the United States Abraham Lincoln.
Similarly, other sections are also quite enlightening about other forms of proof, even going so far as to at least allow for the possibility of Bayes being wrong in his Theorem (a topic explored much more fully in the much more targeted work Bernoulli's Fallacy by Aubrey Clayton) - which not many books about proof and statistics have ever done, at least in my experience as a former math and math related fields major and avid reader. (LONG story short, I came within a half dozen classes of getting degrees in Computer Science (the one I ultimately did get), Mathematics, and Secondary Mathematics Education at once... almost 20 yrs ago to the day as I write this review.)
Ultimately, the star deductions are for the long focus on COVID, which even 5 yrs later still warrants a star deduction in my own personal war against books focusing on that topic, and for trying to defend the scientists who were pushing so much of the damaging narratives - including, it seems, Kucharski himself. In a book about "proof" and "certainty", where history has now proven that one group of scientists in particular was so *incredibly* wrong in their "certain" judgements, to defend that very group of scientists as correct is to actively deny reality, and this cannot be ignored in such a text as this. (I've since come to forgive/ be far more lenient about more passing references to that horrible period of the 21st century, by the way.)
Now, maybe your political positions align more with Kucharski's. Maybe you still believe the blatant lies the world was fed about that period that ultimately caused far more harm and devastation than the actual virus ever did. In which case, you're going to LOVE this book.
But for those like me who believe that every single one of those "scientists" should find a more appropriate job that suits their actual knowledge and skill level - burger flipper, maybe? - eh... read this book anyway. Kucharski really does have some great stuff here, when he's not talking COVID.
Recommended.
Originally posted at bookanon.com.
