Ratings26
Average rating3.9
“A riveting account that reaches beyond the market landscape to say something universal about risk and triumph, about hubris and failure.”—The New York Times NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY BUSINESSWEEK In this business classic—now with a new Afterword in which the author draws parallels to the recent financial crisis—Roger Lowenstein captures the gripping roller-coaster ride of Long-Term Capital Management. Drawing on confidential internal memos and interviews with dozens of key players, Lowenstein explains not just how the fund made and lost its money but also how the personalities of Long-Term’s partners, the arrogance of their mathematical certainties, and the culture of Wall Street itself contributed to both their rise and their fall. When it was founded in 1993, Long-Term was hailed as the most impressive hedge fund in history. But after four years in which the firm dazzled Wall Street as a $100 billion moneymaking juggernaut, it suddenly suffered catastrophic losses that jeopardized not only the biggest banks on Wall Street but the stability of the financial system itself. The dramatic story of Long-Term’s fall is now a chilling harbinger of the crisis that would strike all of Wall Street, from Lehman Brothers to AIG, a decade later. In his new Afterword, Lowenstein shows that LTCM’s implosion should be seen not as a one-off drama but as a template for market meltdowns in an age of instability—and as a wake-up call that Wall Street and government alike tragically ignored. Praise for When Genius Failed “[Roger] Lowenstein has written a squalid and fascinating tale of world-class greed and, above all, hubris.”—BusinessWeek “Compelling . . . The fund was long cloaked in secrecy, making the story of its rise . . . and its ultimate destruction that much more fascinating.”—The Washington Post “Story-telling journalism at its best.”—The Economist
Reviews with the most likes.
The message behind this book - that money managers need to be mindful that investments can't be boiled down to a simple model or equation and that the fallacy that one can truly predict markets can be financially devastating - is definitely an important one. The book itself isn't much of a page-turner and took me a while to slog through. There's a chance someone better versed in finance and asset management could have an easier time with this, but I didn't find it very accessible. Still worth reading.
Key takeaways:
Of course, we have the benefit of hindsight now, but it's difficult to imagine making some of these mistakes, especially given these were supposed to be geniuses.
- Profit needs to be balanced with risk management and stability.
An excellent pre-Black Swan discussion that focuses on the incredible hubris that was behind the rise and fall of the notorious hedge fund, Long Term Capital Management, back I the late 90s. It is clear that the large banks and the Fed did not heed the authors warnings.
We all got to re-live the downside of Under-regulated and highly leveraged derivatives investments. Even worse, investors in the present day still seem to be placing too much faith in econometric models that assume that market event are random and independent events (that are normally distributed).
The author, a financial journalist by trade, brings the sad true story to life with his engaging writing style and his ability to express complex economic concepts in laymen's terms.
My only complaint is that a cursory reading might lead one to believe that the inherent shortcomings of all quantitative models makes them of limited value and that all hedge funds are, by there very nature, dangerous - two simplistic conclusions that, I believe, are not correct.